Simulation Engine · MCP Server

Ask your risk model a question

Connect Claude, ChatGPT, or Microsoft Copilot to the Volatilis Simulation Engine. Model a risk, build a portfolio, and stress-test it, all in the chat window you already work in.

Prompt

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Tool chain

  • Single event risk50k draws
  • 15% chance of occurringresolved
  • Lognormal severityresolved

Cyber incident, annual loss

Mean

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P95

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P99

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85.1% of years cost nothing. The rest are severe.

Simulation complete

50k draws

From question to dashboard, without leaving the chat

Model the risk, get the method, see the picture, and hand back a working dashboard. No quant on standby, no BI tool, no export into your GRC suite.

Six tiles showing distribution shapes: symmetric, right-skewed, a count process feeding a decay curve, several curves combining into one, a dependence network, and a long-tailed cumulative curve

Set up in minutes

The server is remote. There is nothing to install.

https://api.volatilis.org/mcp

Select your client for setup instructions

What you can ask it

Cyber

Cyber tail

“We think a serious breach hits us maybe twice a decade. When one lands, remediation and fines have run around €150k, and a bad one could reach €1.2M. What does that cost us in a typical year, and in a bad one?”

One-off event risk
Operational

Vendor concentration

“Our payments processor goes down about four times a year. Most outages cost €40k in SLA credits and lost transactions, a severe one €250k. Model it as a recurring risk and show me the annual distribution.”

Recurring risk
Risk register

Register conversion

“Here is our register: cyber is Medium likelihood and Major impact, vendor outage is High and Moderate, fraud is High and Minor. Turn those ratings into distributions and give me a quantified portfolio.”

Skill: Qualitative conversion
Board

Are we still solvent

“Our risk-bearing capacity is €1M. Take the whole book and tell me whether a bad year breaks through it, by how much, and how often we should expect that.”

Portfolio assessment
Finance

What to put aside

“Finance wants a risk reserve figure for next year. Give me the average year and the 1-in-20 year, and explain the gap so I can defend the range.”

Stress test
Risk transfer

Where to buy cover

“We insure above what we can absorb ourselves. Show me the layer between an average year and a 1-in-100 year, so I know what we should be transferring.”

Stress test
Concentration

What is actually driving this

“Out of 31 risks in the register, which handful drives most of the expected loss? I only have room for three on the board slide.”

Portfolio assessment
Portfolio

What if they all hit at once

“Our risks are not really independent. A bad year tends to be bad across the board. Show me what that does to the total, and let me try a few assumptions myself.”

Portfolio dashboard
Portfolio

The diversification claim

“Finance wants to net the capital down by treating these as unrelated. Show me the total both ways and tell me what that assumption is really worth.”

Correlation comparison

Numbers you candefend

Every answer traces back to a run you can reproduce.

Sign in with Entra ID

People use the work account they already have. Access is granted per tenant, under the policies you already enforce.

Live statistical simulation

Every question runs a fresh Monte Carlo simulation in the Volatilis engine, sampling up to 50,000 scenarios per run.

Nothing is retained

Your risk data lives in the open conversation for as long as it is open. The server keeps no copy of the portfolio you modeled.

Every call leaves a trail

Tool name, client, and tenant are logged on every call. Runs take an explicit seed and sample count, so any number can be reproduced exactly.

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